Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Two episodes for this date.
Click to go directly to:
Pre-debate, 8 PM
Post-debate, 10:30 PM
Post-Democratic Presidential Candidates Debate Coverage for Feb. 26, 10:30 p.m. - 12:00 a.m. ET

KEITH OLBERMANN, MSNBC ANCHOR: And this time Senator Obama closes with the feel-good, big group hug moment. Senator Clinton, he said, near the end of tonight's 20th debate, campaigned magnificently and now one of them or both of them need to deliver for the American people. He said she would be worthy as a nominee and would be a much better president than John McCain.

Abraham Lincoln and Stephen A. Douglas only had seven debates. They were three hours apiece. They were contained in the span of just over two months in 1858. They have been the measuring stick both for volume, duration, importance in American history. Senators Clinton and Obama in their 20th debate since April 26th of last year when we all gathered in Orangeburg, South Carolina. This was their third in a head-to-head format. Will these achieve the status of historical epics? And will there be a 21st debate?

With Chris Matthews at the Wolstein Center at Cleveland State

University, I'm Keith Olbermann at MSNBC and NBC News world headquarters in New York. Ninety minutes of them, now about 85 minutes of us.

And, Chris, at the risk of incurring wrath, my thought was that Senator Obama scored a few points here, probably a few more than Senator Clinton, but this looked like a bunch of field goals, not touchdowns. And field goals are not going to resurrect Hillary Clinton.

CHRIS MATTHEWS, MSNBC ANCHOR: You know, I think we learned tonight why


Americans like high-scoring sports. This was a low-scoring game, perhaps like a hockey game. I didn't hear many goals myself. A lot of back and forth about health care, which I find almost absurd given the fact we don't have a national health care plan.

It's sounded like they were trying to refine a plan we've had for 50 years when in fact we have nothing. It's Brigadoon. It's imaginary so far, a national health care plan. Yet they were arguing around the edges of it for, what, 16 minutes there at the outset. I thought it was odd that Hillary Clinton would make fun of the format in the fact that she was asked the first question because of earlier debates.

And I thought that was an odd thing to say, that she was expecting the moderators in this case to put some pillows under the seat of Barack Obama. I don't think that kind of sarcasm has much meaning to people.

I thought it was interesting that when Tim Russert asked her at the end if there was one vote she could take back, she mentioned Iraq and the fact that she had voted to authorize the war in Iraq.

And even though she has never quite apologized for that, the fact that she answered the question, did you have anything you'd like to take back, in fact, going further, she went along and said that she would like to take back that vote. I think that's the strongest statement she has made in that department.

I thought paralleling that was, of course, Barack Obama's statement that he should have done something to stop the Terri Schiavo intervention by the U.S. Congress into that state matter involving that young woman's late-in-life decision-making by her family.

And so I think that that was really about the edges of the thing. Tim asked her about her tax return. She said she would get to it. He asked her about the presidential papers. She said she was getting to that in the near term. I thought a lot of that was an efforting on the part of the moderators but not so successful.

I think it was interesting that they argued about Iraq. But I learned really nothing new except again Senator Clinton's admission that she would like to have that vote back. Let's bring in NBC's Andrea Mitchell, who has been covering this campaign and is here with me in Cleveland.

Andrea, I just know one prediction. They didn't argue about probably the biggest issue that will affect the next president. And we don't know what that is yet.

ANDREA MITCHELL, NBC CHIEF FOREIGN AFFAIRS CORRESPONDENT: And we don't

know what that is.

MATTHEWS: It could be Slavic sensibility about Kosovo, something that perhaps led to the beginning of World War I and may lead to another world war at some point. And I just wonder whether we're missing some of the big issues you cover all of the time.


MITCHELL: Well, we did get into some foreign policy questions today,

and she did, you know, raise the question of Kosovo there at the end. They did

talk about Vladimir Putin. I thought that he had one of the best sound bites

of the night on the Iraq War, though, when he talked about, it doesn't matter

whether you drove the bus into the ditch, it isn't to say who drove the bus

out, it's when she made decision to drive that bus, the Iraq War vote, into the


ditch. Don't have that exactly right, but...

MATTHEWS: The ditch was a powerful image there.

MITCHELL: The ditch was a powerful image. I actually thought that she presented herself as a fighter, that that was what was her mission was tonight. And she kept saying, I'm a fighter, you know, five or six times. That was the phrase she was using. And she came across very credibly, very strongly as a fighter.

When asked about the negative tone of the campaign and the mood changes over the last, you know, two or three days, she said, it's because I thought that, you know, I was disturbed that he was unfair in criticizing something I feel passionately about, health care. And I'm a fighter, this is something i will fight for. And you know, when I'm attacked that way, I will fight.

So I think she did present herself that way. And while the details of health care may seem a little bit onerous to people watching, I think people in Ohio, from all of our polling, really care about it. They care about jobs. Both of these candidates said, by the way, that they would opt out of NAFTA if as president the threat to opt out did not get Canada and Mexico to negotiate better labor deals. So they took a very hard line on NAFTA and trade.

MATTHEWS: Well, all politics is local. And here they are in Ohio, worried about NAFTA, and suggested that they wouldn't back it full force, where in fact, Hillary Clinton had been with - I always thought that the Clinton administration took great pride in NAFTA as an opening to world trade and it was so much breaking out of the old Democratic protectionist beliefs.


However, Keith, I think what's interesting is that Barack Obama again demonstrated that he has a superb advantage in the oratory department. On the stump, he is quite thrilling. That thrill is missing in his debate capacity. He doesn't seem to know how in the course of going back and forth with a strong opponent, as Hillary Clinton certainly is, and being able to lift the audience with a thrilling counterpunch or thrilling thrust.

It's always only him alone with a teleprompter and the audience to himself. And I think that's something people better pay note of while we have this chance.

OLBERMANN: There was several occasions that - where his unflappability came in. And this entire question of the tone of the debate between them is one we want to bring up with our chief White House correspondent, David Gregory, who is in Washington.

And, David, this was such a balancing act, certainly for Senator

Clinton who had to appear in some way wronged but not peevish. Did she achieve what she was trying to achieve?

DAVID GREGORY, NBC CHIEF WHITE HOUSE CORRESPONDENT: I think in the

beginning, no. I think she appeared to lose her temper in the beginning. She didn't like the format. She didn't like the questions, complaining about getting the first question all of the time as if that was unfair in her mind. And yet in those cases she was able to set the tone for the debate on that particular point.

So it seemed like she didn't complete that thought. I think that calmed down over time. What you see time and time again with Barack Obama is a coolness about him. He absorbs a particular attack or a question or a pointed statement and tries to maybe acknowledge the point and then turn it around.

I did think there was a particular point on the Jewish question that was a kind of microcosm for this entire debate between the two of them. I mean, the campaign in general. He denounced Louis Farrakhan who has, of course, made horrible comments about Judaism, but Hillary Clinton spoke up and said, no, how about you reject it out of hand? In other words, be more pointed.

This was a point that she has been making about some of his speeches, some of his approach to policy. Be more pointed and flatly reject it. Now that could have been a real slip-up for him had he fought her on the point. Instead he conceded the point and in effect again sort of defused the issue by saying, look, I denounced him. You say I should reject him. I'll reject and denounce.

I think that told us a lot how about these two debate one another and in the case of Obama, how he tries to deflect what can be an attack in the course of a debate. And I think that can be effective.

OLBERMANN: Well, there was earlier in the debate - much earlier. And


I want to get back to your point about that, the "Saturday Night Live"

reference, by literally playing it in a second. But there was also a point at

which her answer about - part of her answer about the description of NAFTA and what to be done about it - or what should be done about it, the willingness to threaten to pull out of it if a renegotiation can't be accomplished with Canada and Mexico where he simply said, that's the right answer and moved on.

There's a certain calmness that is very unusual in 21st Century and maybe even 20th Century American politics where you let a point go. If you think the other guy is right, you're not supposed to still let the point go and you're certainly not supposed to give them credit for it. And he's willing to do that.

Let's go touch back to the beginning point here and whether or not that kind of joke, kind of criticism, kind of gentle backhand to the press worked at all from Senator Clinton. Here's the tape.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. HILLARY CLINTON (D-NY), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: In the last several debates, I seem to get the first question all the time. And I don't mind. You know, I'll be happy to field them. But I do find it curious. And if anybody saw "Saturday Night Life," you know, maybe we should ask Barack if he's comfortable and needs another pillow.

I just find it kind of curious that I keep getting the first question on all of these issues. But I'm happy to answer it.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: The weird thing about that, apart from the fact that she has gotten the first question six out of the last 10 debates, according to David Shuster, went back and looked, David Gregory, the weird thing that is it kind of is contradicted by that second statement, which was, but I'm happy to answer them. And there was something that just didn't connect on that.

GREGORY: Well, right, because she didn't connect it. I mean, she's happy to field them because she knows what she wants to say. She has never been stumped by any of these questions. I think her - the implication, and I know this from some of her advisers who say this publicly and privately, that somehow there's a sort of gotcha mentality about her, to get her backed into a corner when, in fact, in a debate she can take a question, respond to it, and then turn the tables on Barack Obama, which she did at the very outset of the debate.

She wanted to argue about health care. She wanted to attack Barack Obama's plan. Well, she got the very first question about a change in tone from the past few days and, as Brian Williams pointed out, engaged in a 16-minute debate on health care. Very important debate. Well, she got to set the tone for having that debate. And it's because she got that first question.


So I think a lot of people will look at that and not quite understand the point that she was making.

OLBERMANN: And the last question before we finish up with you for the moment, David, that last question to both candidates, anything you regret in your political careers, anything - perhaps as Tim Russert suggested, anything in the way of a vote seemed to be a tailor-made question for Senator Clinton. And she gave the answer that one would expect that she would have.

David Gregory, stand by. Back out to Chris in Cleveland.

MATTHEWS: OK. Thank you, Keith. Tim Russert is NBC's Washington bureau chief and the moderator of "MEET THE PRESS," and of course, the moderator of tonight's debate.

Tim, I was amazed. I thought people wanted the first question. I mean, it just seems to me like every football team I know about wants to receive, you don't like to kick.

TIM RUSSERT, NBC WASHINGTON BUREAU CHIEF: Well, I will tell you, when

I asked the question about the Russian election on Sunday, I intentionally did not call on either one of them. It was a jump ball. I looked at both of them. Who wants in? Senator Clinton jumped in. She wanted the question.

So it's not a matter of - you know, a question about spending on public financing, that was directed to Obama. On Farrakhan, Obama. On tax returns, Clinton, because it's the issues that they have been talking about or not talking about.

This is not rocket science. We distribute the questions in a very fair way, and every - I think what happens, Chris, it's not the questions, it's the answers. You know, and you can't be a president who can make tough decisions unless you can answer tough questions.

And both of these candidates have been asked tough questions.

Sometimes they answer them well. Sometimes they struck out.

MATTHEWS: Let me go through some of the things you asked about. You asked about her tax returns. And she obviously has a joint return with the former President Clinton. Did you have a sense that she was committing in her answer to releasing her tax returns, as Obama has already done - Senator Obama has already done?


RUSSERT: Yes. She had prior to tonight said she would do so if she was the nominee in the general election. Tonight she said maybe before then, which is an indication to me that it's not an issue that she likes to talk about. That's why I cited Governor Strickland here in Ohio who made that a pivotal issue in his campaign. Why won't you release it, he said to the secretary of state. What, in effect - his campaign, what are you hiding?

And if you're going to loan your campaign $5 million, people are going to say, where did that money come from? Where did their income come from? There may be nothing there. But as a sign of transparency, so be with it. Same as with Senator Obama on public financing, when he wasn't raising lots of money, he was offered public financing.

Now it seems to be he is a bit reluctant. It's important to draw them out.

MATTHEWS: Keith.

OLBERMANN: To that question, Tim, from the Midwest Democracy Network questionnaire, obviously your question was predicated on Obama answering the first word in his answer to that question about public financing was "yes." The last sentence of it read "if I am the Democratic nominee, I will aggressively pursue an agreement with the Republican nominee to preserve a publicly financed general election."

My question to you is not about your phrasing of the question, but why -

with that kind of ambiguity in his answer that he could have just pulled out from his jacket and read to you, why do you think he didn't do that? It does seem to broaden out that question a little bit, does it not?

RUSSERT: Yes, it does. And I was expecting that would be part of his reply because he gave that response to Senator McCain. The issue I think is that his campaign right now, Keith, realizes how much money they are raising, as he said, from small donors.

They're going to have a million people giving to this campaign, and that's something that they never anticipated or expected. One of the Obama campaign advisers told me that, if we agreed now to public financing, the Clinton campaign would accuse us of unilateral disarmament against the Republicans.

So I think it is an issue. My guess is in the end if Senator Obama took public financing, the Democratic National Committee could still spend tons of money on opposition spots against the Republican candidate and you would have in effect a twofer.

But there is a reluctance because of the success of the campaign thus far in raising money.

MATTHEWS: Is he reneging on a deal he made before?


RUSSERT: I think his commitment was very firm provided that the Republicans would go along with him and also take public financing, which McCain has said. Now, Obama will take it one step further. He wants to make sure that the 527s, the independent groups and some other areas are closed down.

But his answer was an emphatic yes. There's no doubt about it. And I think it's important that when someone says they're the candidate of hope and inspiration, if they say yes and they're not going to answer yes and provide yes as the answer, then I think it's important they tell us why.

MATTHEWS: Sounds right.

OLBERMANN: Let me ask you, Tim, a second point that I haven't heard raised yet. One of the back - obviously a lot of the backs and forths are old hat to the audience at this point after 20 debates and three one-on-ones here. But one new wrinkle to this, did Senator Obama finally get an opportunity to do this? Did events allow him to answer when Senator Clinton said that he had essentially said earlier in the debate series that he would bomb Pakistan and his response was to point out that the CIA under President Bush just bombed Pakistan to get the al Qaeda number three guy, Abu al-Libi?

Why - is that the first time that has come up and was that somewhat of a knockout answer on the part of Senator Obama in your opinion?

RUSSERT: Well, it was in terms of dealing with Senator Clinton. Interestingly enough, Keith, the Obama campaign had used that against Senator McCain about a week ago. Senator McCain was accusing them of taking unilateral action, of Obama advocating unilateral action against a host country.

And the Obama campaign said, wait a minute, the Bush administration sent the drone in and took out a guy without telling Musharraf they were going to do it. But I think on this stage and on this forum, I think it's very important.

I also think when he talks about the most important decision a commander-in-chief has to make is exercising judgment, and his judgment was not go to war in Iraq, and you couple that with Senator Clinton saying that's the one vote that she would pull back, I think it makes for an interesting discussion.

MATTHEWS: Yes. And you know, Tim, I have watched it like an old Ernest Hemingway fisherman, trying to bring in the big marlin. And for months now you've been trying to get Senator Clinton to offer some kind of response to her decision to vote back in 2002 to authorize the war. And I wondered if you felt that you brought it in a few more inches because, in your follow-up, you said, you would like that vote back? And she said, yes, Tim, I'd like that vote back.

RUSSERT: Absolutely.

MATTHEWS: It sounded to me as far as - further than she has ever gone in saying, I want to re-vote that baby.

RUSSERT: Because it is an issue where all the other opponents, Senator Edwards, Senator Biden, Senator Dodd, every senator who voted for that war has said it was a mistake and I apologize and I'd like to have it back. She has never said that. Tonight I think she has.


MATTHEWS: And she chose to use that as a response to your question, open-ended, is there anything you would like to do over you did wrong the first time. And she chose to offer up her vote on the war resolution as the response to your question and then followed it up with, yes, I'd like to have that vote back. I think you finally brought your marlin into the boat.

(CROSSTALK)

RUSSERT: Because - well, her first answer was...

MATTHEWS:... I think.

RUSSERT:... I wouldn't have voted that way again. And I just - I

wanted to make sure that...

MATTHEWS: No, then you capped it, though.

RUSSERT: Capped it, right.

MATTHEWS: You pulled - she was in the boat floundering around, wasn't she? Anyway. Back to you, Keith. Tim Russert, thank you very much.

OLBERMANN: David Wilhelm is an Obama supporter, he was the campaign manager for Bill Clinton's 1992 presidential campaign. Lisa Caputo served as press secretary to first lady Hillary Clinton. And they are both with us now.

And thank you both for that. Let's pick up where Tim Russert left off right there and Chris Matthews. Lisa, was that a new ground broken in terms of Senator Clinton's retrospective on her vote on the Iraq authorization vote in 2002?

LISA CAPUTO, FORMER HILLARY CLINTON PRESS SECRETARY: I think, you


know, Keith, if you look back at what she said, she has said consistently, look, there are no redos in the Senate. And if I had known then what I know now, I would have never cast the vote. I mean, I think Tim did an excellent job in pressing the question further. And she took the opportunity, when he asked the question toward the end of the debate, is there something you'd want to take back, and she reiterated, you know, look, yes, I would like to take back the vote on the Iraq War.

So I think it's consistent, but I think Tim is right. It's probably linguistically the furthest she has taken it.

OLBERMANN: Mr. Wilhelm, give me your assessment on that. Was that new ground or was that what we already thought you knew about Senator Clinton's position on that vote?

DAVID WILHELM, OBAMA SUPPORTER: Well, it sounded like new ground to me. What I thought was really interesting about tonight was that for Senator Obama I think tonight was a real opportunity to present himself as the next president of the United States. And I thought among the strongest parts of his debate performance were the areas related to national security.

The area - the policy area that Senator Clinton surely thought would be her calling card, tonight it wasn't that. Part of the reason was the backtracking or the new ground made here. But I just thought you saw somebody grow in front of all of our eyes and take real command.

He was firm. He was calm. He was in control. And I thought part of the strongest part of his debate performance was national security.

OLBERMANN: Was there at - Lisa, at any point in this - obviously in this situation that Senator Clinton finds herself in, was there a game-changing, a primary-changing event that can affect the outcomes of Ohio and Texas or secure them for Senator Clinton? Did you have a moment that you perceived in that for your candidate?

CAPUTO: Well, I think - let me first say I disagree slightly with my friend David Wilhelm. I think Hillary Clinton showed a far superior knowledge on foreign policy issues, even Senator Obama admitted he hasn't held an oversight committee hearing on the issue of Afghanistan.

And it was Senator Clinton who went into the long expose on the potential successor to Vladimir Putin. That said, I think there was an interesting moment tonight in terms of Senator Clinton's message going into the March 4th contests, which was she positioned herself as a fighter.

She said, it takes a fighter, a little bit of a play on "It Takes a Village." It takes a fighter. She referenced that she is the one who has the experience to fight for change for working class Americans, for the middle class, to fight for everyday Americans, to ensure that their futures are better. And I think that is a definite shift in message going into a state like Ohio where the economy and people's pocketbooks are major issues.

OLBERMANN: David, did you see it that way? Was there any game-changing moment for your candidate?

WILHELM: Boy, I - well, I don't think we needed a game-changing moment. The momentum is with Senator Obama. He's connecting in Ohio and Texas on issues related to trade, the economy, you name it. I did not see a game-changing moment, and I think Senator Clinton was frustrated as a result of that.


She had an almost impossible, daunting task coming into this debate, and that was to somehow change this - the current momentum that Barack Obama has. That did not occur. There was nothing about this debate that was a game-changer. And, in fact, I think Barack Obama comes out of this debate with his presidential stature enhanced, looking strong, firm, and in command.

OLBERMANN: David, Lisa, thank you kindly. David Wilhelm, former Clinton presidential campaign manager who is now on the Obama team. And Lisa Caputo, the former press secretary to Senator Clinton while she was in the White House. Thank you greatly.

We're going to have much more coming up in the next hour, including the Reverend Jesse Jackson, who is supporting Senator Obama for president. Chris Matthews in Cleveland, Keith Olbermann in New York. We'll be back after this.

OLBERMANN: In the 20th and possibly final debate between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Senator Barack Obama, the senator from Illinois more than holding his own against the senator from New York.

For example, the subject of Pakistan:

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: I just believe that, you know, as Senator Obama said, yes, last summer, he basically threatened to bomb Pakistan, which I don't think was a particularly wise position to take.

OBAMA: I never said I would bomb Pakistan. What I said was that if we have actionable intelligence against bin Laden or other key al Qaeda officials and we - and Pakistan is unwilling or unable to strike against them, we should.

And just several days ago, in fact, this administration did exactly that and took out the third-ranking al Qaeda official.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: And on the issue of how Senator Obama could react to the controversial Minister Louis Farrakhan's support, he explained he had denounced it. That, at first, was not enough for Senator Clinton.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)


CLINTON: There's a difference between denouncing and rejecting. And I think when it comes to this sort of, you know, inflammatory - I have no doubt that everything that Barack just said is absolutely sincere. But I just think, we have got to be even stronger.

OBAMA: I have to say I don't see a difference between denouncing and rejecting. There's no formal offer of help from Minister Farrakhan that would involve me rejecting it. But if the word "reject" Senator Clinton feels is stronger than the word "denounce," then I'm happy to concede the point.

(LAUGHTER)

OBAMA: And I would reject and denounce.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: And, finally, on the subject of the attack ads that figured so prominently in the weekend's conversation between these two candidates, there was no such similar explosiveness tonight.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

OBAMA: Senator Clinton has, in her campaign at least, has constantly sent out negative attacks on us, e-mail, robo-calls, flyers, television ads, radio calls, and we haven't whined about it because I understand that's the nature of this campaigns.

CLINTON: What I find regrettable is that in Senator Obama's mailing that he has sent out across Ohio, it is almost as though the health insurance companies and the Republicans wrote it.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: And they were able to clarify their positions for the following 16 minutes on the nuances of their respective health care plans.

Good evening. At MSNBC and NBC world headquarters in New York, I'm Keith Olbermann, with Chris Matthews at Center at the Wolstein Center at Cleveland State University.


This is our continuing coverage of the final Democratic debate before the March 4 primaries, the final scheduled one between them this year. We will see if there another at some later point - Chris.

MATTHEWS: Well, I'm out here with Andrea Mitchell. We're at the debate site here.

And we're joined right now by the Reverend Jesse Jackson.

You know, I learned again tonight why people like the NBA. They like the shot clock. They like a high-scoring game. This was a very low-scoring debate, I thought.

REVEREND JESSE JACKSON, FOUNDER, RAINBOW/PUSH COALITION: They bantered

about on the issue of health care kind of to a draw. I thought Barack was especially strong on trade policy. And Hillary showed a certain mastery of foreign policy.

But what struck me was, there was no discussion of Appalachia - 33 counties in this state are in Appalachia, working poor people, coal miners, chemical workers. A coal miner dies every six hours from black lung disease. Didn't discuss the home foreclosure crisis. And it is the centerpiece of the recession in our country today. And, so...

MATTHEWS: Is that a big Ohio issue?

JACKSON: It's a big issue in Cleveland. I mean, the city has filed a suit against all of the lenders, for example.

But - but - and Texas. I mean, it's driving the recession. I mean, the impact of the subprime lending crisis has in fact got banks right now. It's driving the entire recession. So, how do you have Cleveland and don't discuss urban policy?

MATTHEWS: Yes.

Do you think Barack Obama is going to get pushed and is being pushed too far on the ethnic front? He has to separate himself from Minister Farrakhan. A lot of other - he's being attacked for wearing an African costume during his trip over there last year.


Are people making him sort of reject his own people or rejecting people around him that may have different views, radically different views than him, in a way that will just antagonize the electorate?

JACKSON: Well, there is some baiting going on.

But, so far, he's been smart enough to get ahead and not get even. He didn't go for it, as it were. But what struck me, with all the focus tonight on Mr. Farrakhan, who is a free agent to express himself, O'Reilly made the suggestion about the - about Michelle Obama and about the lynch mob.

He's on the FOX. He's on the FCC. And how can you miss the implication of something so dangerously reprehensible about the wife of Barack Obama?

MATTHEWS: What did you make of her statement, "This is the first time in my life I'm proud to be an American"? What did you make of that statement?

JACKSON: Well, she was trying to distinguish between she's proud to see America come alive. I mean...

MATTHEWS: But "first time I'm proud of my country," the first time?

JACKSON: And - but she really is proud of her - you can be proud of your country, and not be proud of your government. The government has been very oppressive. People who fight for the country...

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: But she didn't say that. Reverend, she didn't say that. She said the "first time in my life I'm proud of my country." That's a strong statement.

(CROSSTALK)

JACKSON: I really think it's a play on words. That's no act of patriotism.


It does not suggest that Barack - or that O'Reilly ought to say, unless she brings clarity, he will bring out the lynch mob. Mr. Bush says even playing with the word lynch is reprehensible and it should not even be used in jest.

And, of course, when a mass media personality drops such a hint and suggestion as that, it can create, if you will, an atmosphere of danger.

MATTHEWS: Well, I don't like that.

Andrea?

MITCHELL: Well, you know, I - I did think, even though it was a low-scoring debate, I thought that Hillary Clinton achieved her purpose to an extent of saying: I am a fighter. Repeatedly, I am a fighter. And I'm a fighter for health care. I'm a fighter for things I believe in.

MATTHEWS: Yes.

MITCHELL: Why has it been so negative? Why did I respond to those mailers? Because I believe that they were misrepresenting my position about health care, something I'm passionate about.

So, she kept re-injecting that in. Where I thought she missed was in sounding so peevish about, "I got the first question." It sounds like...

MATTHEWS: Are you going to give him a pillow?

MITCHELL: It sounds like inside baseball.

MATTHEWS: I don't think anybody has any idea what that's about.

That's inside baseball.


MITCHELL: She got so - she got so sort of wound up over that "Saturday Night Live" issue.

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: But, Andrea, I got to you...

(CROSSTALK)

JACKSON: But she got points, when she needs a knockout punch.

MATTHEWS: We have to withhold here - Andrea, there was a point in there which I thought was interesting at the end.

She said - Senator Clinton said: You know, we need - I'm a woman running for president, something - I got a real shot.

MITCHELL: Right.

MATTHEWS: Things will be different if a woman is president.

It was sort of an interesting sort of argument, like, we will look at things differently if a woman is president.

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: I think that is a very interesting argument, but I never heard it put so frontally.


MITCHELL: We talked earlier - we talked earlier about the fact that, given the latest polls, if she's going to change her destiny and win in Ohio, it has to be the women returning to her, the women she lost in Wisconsin, Virginia and Maryland.

MATTHEWS: Yes.

MITCHELL: That was an appeal. That was a last pitch deliberately to try to reach after those women.

MATTHEWS: I thought it was...

MITCHELL: Realize that your opportunity is about to be taken from you by this young interloper.

MATTHEWS: But, no - but it's not - it wasn't a selfish appeal to people, like, this is your chance, sisters, or whatever. It was a statement that this country will be ruled perhaps differently because of a woman's point of view, a woman's leadership. That's a heck of a...

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: Let's take a look at this.

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: I thought it was a - let's look at this.

MITCHELL: It was a gut-check question.

MATTHEWS: I thought it was a - well, let's all try to interpret it.


Here she is. Here is the senator from New York.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: As I said last week, you know, it's been an honor to campaign. I still intend to do everything I can to win, but it has been an honor, because it has been a campaign that is history making.

You know, obviously I am thrilled to be running, to be the first woman president, which I think would be a sea change in our country and around the world, and would give enormous...

(APPLAUSE)

CLINTON:... you know, enormous hope and, you know, a real challenge to the way things have been done, and who gets to do them, and what the rules are.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MATTHEWS: You know, I was on a debate panel with you, Reverend Jackson, back in - it's only 20 years ago out in San Francisco.

(LAUGHTER)

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: You and Dukakis. You were in the finals. You made the playoffs with him.

You watch this young guy. How old were you? This fellow is 46, Obama. How old were you when you were in that race?


JACKSON: About the same age.

MATTHEWS: Same age.

What do you feel about this? I want sentiment here, Reverend.

JACKSON: I'm...

MATTHEWS: I know I hear argument from you. I want to hear sentiment.

JACKSON: I'm guessed I'm impressed that, at a certain point, after 20 debates, people are not dealing just with facts, but feeling, how you feel about someone.

MATTHEWS: Yes.

JACKSON: The feeling (INAUDIBLE) Barack is on the rise. And his strength right now is, people are feeling comfortable with him, feeling good about him.

And, so, while they debated the issues tonight, there was no - there was no knockout punch. And, as for the strength, I thought, when she said about being a woman, I mean, Indira Gandhi guided India, and Golda Meir Israel...

MATTHEWS: Yes.

JACKSON: Then Mrs. Thatcher London - Britain.

I'm not sure what the big philosophical difference that makes. But do know, if Barack had said...


(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: Well, haven't you noticed a big change in Argentina under Kirchner?

(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: I'm just teasing.

(LAUGHTER)

JACKSON: Right.

MATTHEWS: And Merkel?

You're right. It's a good point you make.

JACKSON: Well, she was...

MATTHEWS: It's not necessarily a gender difference.

JACKSON: She was freer to say...

MATTHEWS: Right.


JACKSON:... if a woman rules, it's different.

MATTHEWS: Yes.

JACKSON: If he had said this, if I'm an African-American, it would be different, it would be played very different.

MITCHELL: I think...

MATTHEWS: But you - what's good for the goose is good for the gander here, the other way around.

A lot of the arguments for Barack Obama is, here's this fellow with the sort of background in Kenya, look, grew up in Indonesia. That background itself would be helpful to our world relations. That argument is made.

JACKSON: Well, he has a sense of universality.

MATTHEWS: Yes.

JACKSON: And that is important, that our foreign policy becomes so foreign to our values and become so isolated. So, his sense of a world view does matter.

MATTHEWS: Andrea?

MITCHELL: His appeal to many people is precisely that, the excitement, the change, the fact that this would be so revolutionary.

And she has had the misfortune of thinking that she was a history-making candidate, and seeing this, perhaps some would, say more historic candidate.


MATTHEWS: Right.

JACKSON: And, so, she was trying to remind women, this would be a sea change, and try to rally those who feel that gender might trump his change, because...

MATTHEWS: Well, it is a change.

We have been ruled by white guys with...

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS:... with two-syllable or one-syllable names since beginning. It's Ford, Bush, you know, and Reagan. It's the simple - and now we have a chance for a woman president or an African-American president with a unique background.

Reverend Jackson, it is history. And we're watching it here tonight.

JACKSON: Well, you know, he has a combination of it. He has framed the issue from a horizontal black-white-brown, to a future, past. He's reframed the issue.

(CROSSTALK)

JACKSON: He brings these charismatic gifts and the exquisite timing and the resources. And he's almost untouchable.

MATTHEWS: Who's a better speaker, you or him?

JACKSON: Barack.


(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: You heard it here.

Reverend Jackson, thank you.

Let's go back to Keith in New York.

OLBERMANN: Thank you, Chris.

Thank you, Andrea.

Thank you, Reverend Jackson.

And let's follow up with that point that Reverend Jackson made about a minute ago.

Let's turn to our panel, MSNBC political analyst Pat Buchanan, and Rachel Maddow, and "The Washington Post"'s Eugene Robinson.

Gene, let me start with you.

Reverend Jackson pointed out that if - essentially, if it had not been Hillary Clinton saying a woman president would be a sea change, would make history, would change how people perceive who is running things and how can run things and what can be done, but had been Senator Obama saying the exactly the same construction, exactly the same wording, only, he said, an African-American president would be a sea change and give people different ideas of who can run things and bring optimism and hope around the world, Reverend Jackson suggests we would not be reacting to that with the kind of round of applause that Senator Clinton got for - for her remarks.

Is his point well taken? And what would we be doing here in the other -


in that parallel universe where he answers that question that way?

EUGENE ROBINSON, ASSISTANT MANAGING EDITOR, "THE WASHINGTON POST":

Well, first of all, Keith, I notice you keep coming to me first in these debates...

OLBERMANN: Right.

(LAUGHTER)

ROBINSON:... with the first question.

And I really resent that.

(LAUGHTER)

ROBINSON: But, anyhow, I will make the best of it.

You know, I think it would...

(LAUGHTER)

ROBINSON: I think it would have been played very differently. It would have been seen as a - as a more polarizing thing to say.


And I think, afterwards, Senator Obama would have some rejecting and denouncing to do if he had - if he had tried to make that explicit argument.

He's been very careful during the campaign not to make that argument and to let race be what it is, without dominating the - dominating his campaign. But I think it would have been played very differently. And I think Reverend Jackson is right.

It seemed to me that this evening was about Barack Obama being presidential, being or presenting himself as a president of the United States. I noticed, when the - when the question was asked about Iraq, what if Iraq falls apart, what would you do, Hillary Clinton said it was a hypothetical. She doesn't like to deal with hypotheticals.

He jumped at the question to say that, well, we have to project U.S. interests. And I think it was - again, during that whole foreign policy part of the debate, it was him speaking as a president would speak. And I - I think that was part of his aim tonight.

OLBERMANN: Yes.

Hey, Pat, that seems like an extraordinarily good point. And I will again use Reverend Jackson as a starting point, and disagree with him. He said he thought that Hillary Clinton had - had prevailed in the areas of international business and - and national security.

And, yet, we had the - the - the unanswerable answer by Obama to Clinton about Pakistan of bombing Pakistan: I didn't say I was going to bomb Pakistan, but, oh, by the way, that's basically what we just did in getting al-Libi in Pakistan, came back with an answer suggesting that Senator Clinton had equated longevity in Washington with actual practical experience or judgment, and - and responding to Senator Clinton's answer about being ready on day one, her refrain about that, with saying that, you know, being ready - you were ready on day one to enable George Bush to put us in Iraq.

Did - did Senator Obama do better on the international front? Did he -

did he seem presidential in that way, in a way perhaps he has not before in this series of debates?

PAT BUCHANAN, NBC POLITICAL ANALYST: I think he did. I think it was his best points.

And, Keith, I have to say you have taken all the lines that I was going to respond to and say.

(LAUGHTER)


BUCHANAN: But I will say this. It's - the way he does it, he uses the concrete language. He said, yes, we're trying together to get the bus out of the ditch, but you voted to drive the bus into the ditch, which is a very effective way of saying it. It was very powerful, his wording.

He said, you know, it was the biggest strategic blunder in our history. You drove the bus into the ditch. And he followed up with that. And the language and rhetoric of that was very strong, very powerful, very unequivocal. It was really his best moment.

But, again - and let me say, I agree with Jesse Jackson on this. If he said, look, with a black American in the White House, there will be a different approach here to things, and we will look at the - that would have invited a lot of follow-up questions that Hillary's statement does not.

And I will say this. The way he handles the - I mean, when Hillary went up - they showed that clip of Hillary up there saying the celestial choirs are coming down, and mocking him...

OLBERMANN: Yes.

BUCHANAN:... and as - when they cut off it, he said, sounds good to me. And it was a very funny line. And I think he...

OLBERMANN: And then compliments her joking delivery, too.

(LAUGHTER)

(CROSSTALK)

OLBERMANN: Yes.

BUCHANAN: And, to me, this is what Obama's strength in.

But I will say this. I thought she was very strong going after him in the first half. I thought she was winning. In the second half, I thought he parried everything. I do agree that was presidential, as Gene says. And I think the second half of that debate was - I think it was - it's very tough to see how she turns this around, given the fact he did an outstanding job.


OLBERMANN: And I have now stolen Pat Buchanan's line.

BUCHANAN: Right.

OLBERMANN: I have now given Gene Robinson the first question, when he didn't want it.

So, all I have left is Rachel Maddow to - to not to be mad at me.

So, Rachel, why don't you just say whatever you perceived happened during the debate, and I will just stay out of it.

(LAUGHTER)

RACHEL MADDOW, RADIO TALK SHOW HOST: Fair enough.

(LAUGHTER)

MADDOW: Thank you.

I would just say, before I think we praise Obama too much for the "driving into the ditch line," I think we should all recall that it would be a little bit weird, in a metaphorical circumstance or in real life, for anybody to vote to drive into a ditch. The metaphor does kind of fall apart when you get down to that level of detail with it.

Honestly, the big picture here is, I think that John McCain wins the debate tonight. I think this was the Democratic voter enthusiasm suppression act of 2008.

(LAUGHTER)


OLBERMANN: It took until late February, but the Democratic race has officially become grim. It was exuberant up until now. And, tonight, it was a drag.

And I think we have seen a lot of Democratic enthusiasm. We have seen huge turnouts from the Democrats. Tonight is the first real blow I have seen against them.

OLBERMANN: Well, those were some tired fighters out there, as we used to say in boxing.

MADDOW: Yes.

OLBERMANN: Rachel, Pat Buchanan, Gene Robinson, stay with us. We will be right back with you later on in the - in the hour.

We will have much more on the final Clinton-Obama debate, at least the final one before the Ohio and Texas primaries next time - next week at this very time.

We will return. We will go back out to Cleveland. MSNBC's David Gregory will be with us as well.

You're watching MSNBC's coverage of the Ohio debate, only on MSNBC.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: What I find regrettable is that in Senator Obama's mailing that he has sent out across Ohio, it is almost as though the health insurance companies and the Republicans wrote it.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)


(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

OBAMA: We have gone through 20 debates now. And, you know, there is still a lot of fight going on in this contest, and we have got four coming up, and maybe more after that.

But the one thing I'm absolutely clear about is Senator Clinton has campaigned magnificently. She is an outstanding public servant. And I'm very proud to have been campaigning with her.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MATTHEWS: Well, welcome back to Cleveland where Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama met for what is their final debate before the Ohio and Texas primaries a week from tonight.

Keith Olbermann is with us with MSNBC at headquarters in New York.

And here with me right now is U.S. Congresswoman Stephanie Tubbs Jones, who is an Ohio Democrat from this area of Cleveland. She supports Senator Clinton.

Senator Clinton, did she win tonight?

REP. STEPHANIE TUBBS JONES (D), OHIO: I think...

MATTHEWS: Are you willing to state that clearly?

TUBBS JONES: I want to state she hit a home run...

MATTHEWS: All right.


TUBBS JONES:... and that I believe that this debate was a calming debate for both constituencies.

I think, over the past three or four days, you have seen them going at one another, which is all part of the political process. But the message I think both candidates wanted to deliver to their constituency was, when it's all over with, November is coming up, and we have got to be together.

MATTHEWS: Is there any earthly reason for another debate at this point, or have they said what they have to say to each other?

TUBBS JONES: Well, someone walked up to me today and said, well, no one has talked about an urban agenda. And I would like to have a debate around an urban agenda.

And, so, maybe there is time for one more issue.

MITCHELL: Congresswoman, let me ask you this.

As a supporter of Hillary Clinton's and as an Ohio politician, if she doesn't win here, which is critical to any Democrat winning the presidency, will you then urge her, or will others be urging her to step aside, to talk about the unity of the party, which you just mentioned?

TUBBS JONES: I will say to you that that is a very personal decision for Senator Clinton.

I have been involved in advising her around a lot of things, but, that one, I'm going to sit and let her make her decision. And whatever she decides, I'm going to be with her.

See, in politics, it's about being supportive and loyal, and not running and jumping ship when you're down and out. And, so, right now, I don't think she's out, but I think she's somewhat down. And I'm really to just hang out and say, come on, girlfriend, let's do this. Let's bring it along. And I think the people of Ohio may still be with us.

MITCHELL: But, after March 4, if that doesn't work out, if she's down and out, that might be a different story?

TUBBS JONES: It may well be. But I'm - again, I'm going to say, Andrea, I'm going to let her make that decision, because, see, nobody is with her at night after we have done 20 cities. And I did it for her. I have done it a couple of times. Nobody believes that is the case.


MATTHEWS: You know, we're all - we're operating on - this country is in shift right now. There's a lot of movement. I have never seen polls move so fast. They're moving. They move back a little bit. They move a long way in another direction.

We have never talked more about demographics. Maybe it's healthy we're admitting it. We talk about Latinos and Latinas. We talk about blacks, young blacks, older blacks. We talk about old whites, young whites, young women, white guys. I have never heard myself described as - as a minority group. Now we're one of the groups.

(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: We're old guys - old guys, young...

MITCHELL: Believe me, you're not a minority.

(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: No, but I'm - but we're talked about like that.

TUBBS JONES: We're going to have a show where we spend all the time doing just that.

(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: Well, it's all about - it sounds like we're putting together television demographics, like we do with ratings or something.

But I guess the question is generation. And I hear things like young Latinos, young guys, young women of Mexican-American background in Texas are telling their parents how to vote, that it's in every community, this is going on.

I want you to talk about the generational thing in your community here in Cleveland. What is going on in the argument in the family rooms, at the dinner table?


(CROSSTALK)

TUBBS JONES: I think they're all over at place. I was on a panel the other day with Tavis Smiley.

And, so, I had on the panel Michael Dyson.

MATTHEWS: Sure.

TUBBS JONES: Michael Dyson is with Barack.

MATTHEWS: His wife...

TUBBS JONES: But his wife, Marcia, is with Hillary.

Jesse Jackson is with Barack, but his wife - what - oh.

MATTHEWS: Jacqueline.

TUBBS JONES: Jacqueline.

MATTHEWS: Jacqueline.

TUBBS JONES: Jackie is with Hillary.


It's - so, there's this interesting peace going on. In my community - and my congressional district is probably 52 percent African-American, 48 percent all others. And it's - and people are all over the place.

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: Couldn't we save a lot of gas if we decided at home which way the vote was going?

(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: I mean, if the husband and wife are going to vote different, stay at home. Save the gas. What do we do?

(LAUGHTER)

TUBBS JONES: Oh, I think it's fabulous.

MATTHEWS: Yes?

TUBBS JONES: I think it's fabulous that people are so engaged and that - you know, keep in mind, there was a time when a woman in a home didn't say much about many things.

MATTHEWS: I know.

TUBBS JONES: And it's - a beauty of it is that women are empowered.

Girls are - young women are empowered. Young men are empowered.


MATTHEWS: Let me ask you a tough question. When you go to voting, and you have got a husband or wife, does the wife say to the husband, how you voting? I want to know.

TUBBS JONES: Probably.

MATTHEWS: Is this going to get that personal?

TUBBS JONES: Oh, it may well.

(LAUGHTER)

TUBBS JONES: And then they may say - and then they may say, I'm going to leave you alone. Or they may say, I already know what you're going to do.

MATTHEWS: I think the private ballot is a very important thing in a family situation.

MITCHELL: Hillary Clinton wound up tonight by saying it would be a sea change to have a woman as president.

Wouldn't it also be a sea change to have an African-American as president?

TUBBS JONES: I mean, others - I will say this. It will be a sea change no matter what happens.

MATTHEWS: OK.

TUBBS JONES: But I will also say this, that Barack Obama can't own Martin Luther King's dream. So, Senator Clinton can own it also.


And I think that that is what has been missing from this whole discussion about Martin Luther King's...

(CROSSTALK)

MATTHEWS: Well, as the guy says in "Charlie Wilson's War," we will see.

(LAUGHTER)

MATTHEWS: And that's the biggest truth...

TUBBS JONES: We sure will.

MATTHEWS:... we can give around here.

Thank you very much...

TUBBS JONES: Thanks for having me.

MATTHEWS:... U.S. Congresswoman Stephanie Tubbs Jones...

TUBBS JONES: Thanks.

(CROSSTALK)


MATTHEWS:... who is our hostess here in Cleveland - Keith.

OLBERMANN: Chris, we're joined once again by NBC News chief White House correspondent David Gregory.

And, David, let's talk about the movement on the answer about Senator Clinton's vote to authorize war possibilities, at least, in Iraq in 2002.

Let's listen to the clip first.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: Well, obviously, I have said many times that, although my vote on the 2002 authorization regarding Iraq was a sincere vote, I would not have voted that way again.

I would certainly, as president, never have taken us to war in Iraq. And I regret deeply that President Bush waged a preemptive war, which I warned against and said I disagreed with.

RUSSERT: To be clear, you would like to have your vote back?

CLINTON: Absolutely. I have said that many times.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: Has she, in fact, said that many times? I recall, even from the debate I did in Soldier Field last August, where she said - she trotted out the first version of that, I think it was, which I - you know, if I had known then what I know now...

GREGORY: Right. Exactly right.


OLBERMANN:... there's no way I would have voted in that way of giving him that - that carte blanche.

GREGORY: There's no question that, in the past, Senator Clinton has tried to parse that question and answer a lot more carefully by saying, you know, to do it all over again, there would have never been a war vote to have voted on, and, therefore, we would have never been to war.

I mean, this was a clear admonition tonight that she wanted it back. And, if you're Barack Obama, you do tomorrow and the next day and the day after that, leading up to next Tuesday's important vote in Ohio and Texas, and you say, this is the judgment issue. If Senator Clinton says she's ready on day one, then what he said tonight is, on day one, she was ready to give in to George Bush, to become, as he said, an enabler and a facilitator for his bad judgment.

This is where he wants to fight the debate in these next few days to try to - to really underline something that I think he brought up effectively tonight, which is to poke holes in this foreign policy experience that she has asserts that she has.

OLBERMANN: And it - also, is it not, to some degree, a twofer, David, because you not only can - can point - make that point, which I think he scored fairly heavily with during the debate - the debate tonight, but, also, you can say, this is where we have gotten to finally, almost a retraction, almost an apology there at the end, after 20 debates, that it's taken 20 debates and basically 13 months of a campaign just to get to this state?

Can he not make some hay off that as well?

GREGORY: Well, I think, yes, absolutely. I think he will try to, if - if he wants to. You know, there was a bit of him tonight trying to sit on the lead and that was an example where I thought he went for the jugular. We haven't heard that language from here before, to say this is the judgment issue that I want to drive home and that you're an enabler of George W. Bush. So I think he does try to make hay on that in the coming days, no question.

OLBERMANN: And the only real reference to the Republican in this, which perhaps would be a disappointment to Democrats who were, you know, comfortable with either one of these candidates, was brought up by Barack Obama who said that obviously he thought his judgment on this was not equivalent to pure seniority in Washington, and that his judgment was better than either Senator Clinton on this topic or Senator McCain.

How much - can he carry that in the next few days as part of Barack Obama already works toward a one-on-one campaign against John McCain?

GREGORY: Well, he'll try to. I mean, it becomes more difficult. There are things that Senator McCain can bring up on this issue that Senator Clinton doesn't want to, for the sake of Democratic unity, to get into a lengthier debate about Iraq.

There's no question Senator Barack Obama wants to say John McCain is basically a continuation of George Bush's war policy in Iraq. The record will be a bit messier than that in terms of John McCain's position who was critical of the conduct of the war. And certainly McCain can draw out Barack Obama and say things like, what did you know when you didn't have to actually cast a vote? You weren't in the Senate yet, you weren't privy to the intelligence that Senator Clinton was privy to at the time.

It's a separate matter that it turned out to be off-track, this intelligence. But there's a lot more detailed debate that goes to judgment and foreign policy that I think Senator McCain will bring up down the line that Senator Clinton has not gotten into. Even as - she has tried, and as she tried tonight on the issue of Pakistan, I think she could have made a better point had she been more precise about what Senator Obama had said vis-a-vis Pakistan, for instance, which you brought up before.


OLBERMANN: Right. As opposed to saying basically that he had said he was basically going to bomb Pakistan, his response was - yes.

GREGORY: Yes. But let's not say - but he basically said - let's say precisely and why that was bad judgment in her estimation. Because there's a serious point to be made about Barack Obama's foreign policy and the toughness with which he will approach a still very complicated part of the world and that is the Middle East.

OLBERMANN: David Gregory is staying with us. We'll be back with you in a moment, David. We'll have much more from Cleveland as well. You're watching our coverage in the aftermath of the Clinton-Obama debate. Democrats big 2-0, the final one before the Ohio and Texas primaries here only here on MSNBC.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. BARACK OBAMA (D-IL), PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Senator Clinton I

think equates experience with longevity in Washington. I don't think the American people do and I don't think that if you look at the judgments that we've made over the last several years that that is the accurate measure.

On the most important foreign policy decision that we face in a generation, whether or not to go into Iraq, I was very clear as to why we should not, that it would fan the flames of anti-American sentiment, that it would distract us from Afghanistan, that it would cost us billions of dollars, thousands of lives and would not make us more safe.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

OBAMA: I am absolutely clear that hope is not enough. And it is not going to be easy to pass health care. If it was, it would have already gotten done. It's not going to be easy to have a sensible energy policy in this country. Exxon Mobil made $11 billion last quarter. They are not going to give up those profits easily.

But what I also believe is that the only way we are going to actually get this stuff done is, number one, we're going to have to mobilize and inspire the American people so that they're paying attention to what their government is doing. And that's what I've been doing in this campaign and that's what I will do as president. And there's nothing romantic or silly about that.


(END VIDEO CLIP)

MATTHEWS: Welcome back to Cleveland where Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton met in their final debate before their primaries in Ohio and Texas. Let's get another perspective on what we saw here in Cleveland tonight from Michelle Bernard of the Independent Women's Voice.

A perfect person to have on at this point, Michelle, which is to answer the question whether Hillary Clinton was right in saying - or correct in saying that a president who is a woman will bring a different way of looking at things and that's a healthy thing for America.

MICHELLE BERNARD, INDEPENDENT WOMAN'S VOICE: I don't think it was the

right thing to say. I mean, if - regardless of whether Barack Obama or Senator Clinton is the nominee, it will be a huge change in American politics. But the bottom line is, people should not be voting for Barack Obama because he's African-American. People should not be voting for Senator Clinton because she's a woman.

People, and I believe - very strongly believe that the American public, at least the Democratic American public, is going to vote for the candidate that they feel are the best-qualified to represent them and to be the standard-bearer of the Democratic Party. And race and gender will have nothing to do with it.

MATTHEWS: Well, what is that - how is that relevant to what's actually happening? I mean, let's face it, African-Americans are voting overwhelmingly for Barack Obama and you're saying they shouldn't?

BERNARD: No, I'm absolutely not saying that. But what I am saying is I do not think, for example, that African-Americans are overwhelmingly voting for Barack Obama because he is African-American. You have got to remember just a few short weeks ago, most people were scratching their heads saying, why isn't Barack Obama attracting the support of more African-Americans?

There was a time until recently when African-Americans overwhelmingly were supporting Senator Clinton. All of that changed in South Carolina, in Georgia, in Iowa and has been changing all along.

The demographics that have been voting for him have been increasing since that first caucus in Iowa, what seems like an eternity ago. And I think that just as we have seen white women, for example, overwhelmingly voting for Senator Clinton, and they still are a large part of her base, we're seeing that those voters are beginning to hemorrhage away and it has nothing to do with the fact that she's a woman.

People, I believe, are believing for the person who they think are best going to represent what they're looking for in the next president of the United States.

MATTHEWS: OK. Michelle Bernard, thank you very much for joining us.


Let's bring in MSNBC's Ron Allen who has been covering the Clinton campaign.

He joins Andrea and I here.

You, sir, I was watching this...

(CROSSTALK)

RON ALLEN, MSNBC CORRESPONDENT:... on this show too.

MATTHEWS: Well, here you are and here you are among us with Andrea and

I. And a fresh perspective, sir.

ALLEN: Nothing terribly profound. I think it was a draw, too. I thought it was very interesting that Hillary Clinton seemed to be really trying very hard. And also a lot of people made a point of this health care debate going on for so long. On the trail, she has really been very passionate about it and I've been struck by how she has been talking about health care as a constitutional right, and as an issue of discrimination against the sick.

And this is what she has been saying to audiences out there in Ohio today. And that seems to be what she has decided is going to be what she wins or fails on, this issue.

MATTHEWS: Does she believe that - I mean, we have no national health plan right now in the country. It seemed to me they were arguing around the edges of something that doesn't exist. It would be one thing if we had a national health plan, we don't have one.

In other words, her continual complaint that Barack Obama doesn't cover 15 million people, why is that important given the fact we don't have any coverage to start with right now? That we have to build towards that eventually?

ALLEN: Well - but there was also a dispute about who's telling the truth. It wasn't just about the edges of health care, it was about who's telling the truth. That's what enraged her, she said, about these mailers that she had. It's that, you're telling people - you're telling poor people that I'm going to force you to buy a health care policy.


And I think it was as much about that and that's why I think she got so - took such offense to that, those comments, is because, again, this is something she feels so strongly about, she feels like he's just manipulating the whole thing and discrediting - and I think...

MATTHEWS: Let's put it together. Your argument earlier that she was very effective at continually referring to herself as a fighter, but fighting for health care is what she has done before and to be blunt, didn't get there. She didn't get it done.

ALLEN: Well - but that was a long time ago.

MATTHEWS: With a Democratic Congress, a Democratic president, her husband at the time, all the attributes you need to put something through, and now she may be going into office as a president with a perhaps not a Democratic Congress, it could be even tougher, (INAUDIBLE)?

MITCHELE: Well, look at the arc of her career though. Her career really began on a national scale when she was given the health care account by her husband, which his economic advisers, Bob Rubin, the late Lloyd Bentsen, all of the rest of them said was a terrible mistake, to hand one-seventh of the economy over to the first lady? To have the East Wing fighting the West Wing?

It's what made the Clinton White House dysfunctional in the first couple of years, largely. And she has now acknowledged that was a mistake, that she went about it too secretively, that she went about it without bring enough people in. That she didn't compromise.

She says she has learned her lesson. What she's saying to the American people, to Democratic voters, this is what I care about. I am a fighter. I am passionate about this. This is, as Ron points out, a constitutional right. And interestingly, if she succeeds in this campaign in Ohio, which is, I think a threshold to continuing, it will be because she's connected somehow with the voters here on health care.

MATTHEWS: And I think that is the big question...

ALLEN: I don't think she made enough of her experience. For example, she could have done a better job of drawing the contrast between what she did then and now and how she has grown. I also thought in foreign affairs, which is my thing, because I spent so much time overseas, that she doesn't really - the answer to the Iraq thing always hangs up the whole foreign affairs discussion.

She talked about Northern Ireland, she talked about Kosovo. But she really didn't explain more to people in ways that they can understand what she did as first lady and what she has done as a senator in a very practical way that shows she has more of a grasp of these things than Barack Obama.

He's hanging on this vote - you know, this one vote in Iraq.

MATTHEWS: Well, it is the war we're fighting.


ALLEN: It is. It is. But there is...

MATTHEWS: And I thought she did give ground tonight by saying she wishes she had that vote back now. Thank you, Ron. Now we have got to go right back now to Keith - Keith who is in New York - Keith Olbermann.

OLBERMANN: Chris, and let's go back and turn to NBC News chief White house correspondent David Gregory in Washington.

For anybody who paid attention to the campaign between these two candidates for the last five days, David, there was a thought that perhaps, at the beginning or maybe after that first commercial break, Hillary Clinton might appear from off stage and bring a folding metal chair down on top of Barack Obama's head. Obviously that did not happen and nothing linguistically happened similar to that. But did the back and forth of the last few days find its way into this debate?

GREGORY: Yes, I think it did and I think part of it was the emotion you saw from Hillary Clinton, both when she appeared to be angry a little bit in the beginning of the debate, whether with the moderators, with getting that first question. The fact - on a reference to Barack Obama getting better treatment, which has been her contention and that of her advisers.

But I also think there's that one instance when the sound bite was played of Hillary Clinton mocking Barack Obama's oratory and then she continued by saying, here was the larger point. And if we listen to that, I have a thought about it.

(BEGIN VIDEOTAPE)

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: Stand up here and say, let's just get everybody together.

Let's get unified. The sky will open. The light will come down.

(LAUGHTER)

CLINTON: Celestial choirs will be singing. And everyone will know we should do the right thing and the world will be perfect.


(LAUGHTER)

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OBAMA: Sounds good.

BRIAN WILLIAMS, NBC ANCHOR: Of all the charges...

(LAUGHTER)

OBAMA: I thought Senator Clinton showed some good humor there. I would give her points for delivery.

(LAUGHTER)

OBAMA: And look, I understand the broader point that Senator Clinton has been trying to make over the last several weeks. You know, she characterizes typically as speeches, not solutions, or talk...

(END VIDEOTAPE)

GREGORY: Well, we - and what you - after that moment played out, Hillary Clinton, Keith, made the point that the larger point she was making that she too had high hopes about public service when she came to Washington with her husband and thought that anything was possible. And she learned the hard way on health care that you need a lot of fight.

And this was Andrea Mitchell's point tonight, showing fight, showing emotion is a contrast, I think, to what some people could perceive as aloofness in Barack Obama. It may be a strength on points when it comes to his debating style that he appears unflappable, but I think that she's making a point to Ohio voters to say I'm going to fight for you, I'm going to fight on health care, I'm going to fight to get NAFTA renegotiated.

That could have some resonance. And after all, I think this is what is her strongest calling card, that her political experience will lead her to fight the system hard and to learn from mistakes that she has made in the past. That's an experience question that she can make, I think, over Barack Obama.


OLBERMANN: Were there not occasions, though, do you think, David, in this debate tonight where the fighting instinct led her to hit herself in the chin with one of the punches? I'm thinking about the Farrakhan exchange, which seemed to be really dicey territory, you know, reject, you should denounce and he said, well, I'll reject and denounce, which might be the - you know, the new catch phrase for some cola somewhere.

But I mean, it seemed like every time she really went in on that point, he really calmed it all down and that may seem not so active, but it may have its own value in some respects.

GREGORY: Well, I think you're right and I think this is really what this contest is about. We now have through these debates a real contrast in these styles. I thought on that particular point that people will see this different ways.

Yes, he defused it, but it was I think strong for her to get in there and say, no, don't say that you have denounced Farrakhan in the past, say that you reject it categorically. You don't want his support and you want distance from his point of view.

That I think crystallized the kind of campaigner that she has been. And it was as if to say, don't be so aloof and don't parse the words about whether - he's not offering help so I have to reject it. So I think that was a strong point.

But again, he was able to absorb it in that very instance to not get defensive, as any number of us would get when you're attacked by somebody, you're going to say, I'll concede the point and have no more damage done with it.

OLBERMANN: And contrast it entirely to that last answer that we made - been making a lot of about Iraq, which, you know, whatever you think of Obama's answer about Farrakhan, it took him about 10 seconds to revise it.

GREGORY: Right.

OLBERMANN: It took her 20 debates to get around to the point where she would say, I want that vote back.

GREGORY: Absolutely.

OLBERMANN: All right. David Gregory in Washington, thanks for your perspectives tonight.

GREGORY: Certainly.


OLBERMANN: When we return, our panel will rejoin us to talk about the next week of this campaign heading into the Ohio and Texas primaries and whether we are all going to need to get a hat because it's going to come down so heavily. This is MSNBC's continuing coverage of the Clinton-Obama debate, number 20 in a series. We're back after this.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CLINTON: Well, I was having a little fun, you know, it's hard to find time to have fun on the campaign trail. But occasionally you can sneak that in. But the larger point is that I know I'm trying to get health insurance for every American that's affordable. It will not be easy. It's not going to come about just because we hope it will or we tell everybody it's the right thing to do.

You know, 15 years ago, I tangled with the health insurance industry and the drug companies and I know it takes a fighter. It takes somebody who will go toe to toe with the special interests.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

OBAMA: The fact is that Senator Clinton often says that she's ready on day one, but in fact she was ready to give in to George Bush on day one on this critical issue. So the same person that she criticizes for having terrible judgment, and we can't afford to have another one of those, in fact she facilitated and enabled this individual to make a decision that has been strategically damaging to the United States of America.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

MATTHEWS: Welcome back to MSNBC's live coverage of the Clinton-Obama debate, perhaps the last one, at least in this cycle going into these primaries next Tuesday in Ohio and in Texas. We've asked, by the way, our viewers tonight to use their mobile phones to text message who they thought won tonight's debate. It's not a scientific poll, but here are the results.

Nearly 90,000 of you voted, that's 90,000 - I think it was precisely 89,000 actually, and 70 percent said that Barack Obama won the debate, 30 percent said that Hillary Clinton won the debate.

Now I have to offer this caveat, younger people tend to be more used to using text messaging. We know that. And we'll have to ask about - you have to suggest something about the ideology of those who participated. That's hard to do.


It's easy to do it generationally because Ron Paul, the libertarian, won the last one we did among Republicans debating. So you get a sense of younger voters perhaps more free-spirited in their thinking. But there you have it, 70 to 30 victory tonight by Barack Obama in our text message poll -

Keith.

OLBERMANN: Yes, but older people can afford - better afford text messaging rates. Let's go back to our panel for a round-up thought here about where we're going to go now in this last week of the campaigns in Texas and Ohio, principally. Eugene Robinson, Pat Buchanan, and we'll start with Rachel Maddow.

Did anything happen tonight that suggests where we're going to go in the next week before Texas and Ohio?

MADDOW: Any Democratic voters who at this point who are still undecided between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama I do not believe are waiting to find out the difference between rejected or denounced. They are not waiting to find out the difference between preparations versus preconditions for meeting with the little Castro brother.

There's only one question they want answered right now, and it is, who can kick John McCain's tail? And if these two don't start competing on the basis of who can hit McCain the hardest and most effectively, who can win the election and win the argument nationally, I think that Democratic enthusiasm is going to take a blow now that we've sunk into all of this negative tit for tat stuff.

OLBERMANN: But, Eugene, we have got one week until Texas and Ohio presumably resolve things. Can the Democratic campaign against the Republicans survive another week without the kind of anti-McCain focus that Rachel suggests?

ROBINSON: Well, you know, I think they would be well advised to get back to a bit more of that. It was - John McCain really was missing from most of this debate tonight. I guess they both figure they have more important things to worry about now.

Barack Obama is trying to at this point close out the deal and Hillary Clinton is trying to move those polls or stop from moving in the opposite direction. I'm not sure I heard anything tonight that seems guaranteed to change the poll numbers.

But you know, we've been wrong before. So we are - you know, and that last thing, Andrea Mitchell mentioned it earlier, the mentioning that she would be the first woman president. You know, it could have some resonance. Does it change anything? I'm not sure.

OLBERMANN: Pat, if you were advising Barack Obama, would you have said to him, drop John McCain's name as often as you possibly can in this debate tonight, make part of it against McCain, sort of segue past Hillary Clinton right now?

BUCHANAN: No, I wouldn't. Hillary Clinton came at him tonight, she was the aggressor in this fight. She was backing him up, but he's counterpunching and he threw flurries. I think that he very probably won the debate on points.


I agree with David's point that she's going to get points for a tough, aggressive, offensive strategy, probably with working class folks in Ohio. But I don't see this changing the general momentum at all. And I mean, I think what Barack Obama is doing is trying to hold his lead. And From what I saw in this battle, he held it.

OLBERMANN: Sounded like about a 9-6 game, maybe 12-9, all field goals. Pat Buchanan, Rachel Maddow, Eugene Robinson, our panel tonight in the aftermath of debate number 20, thank you to all of you.

MADDOW: Thank you.

BUCHANAN: Thank you.

ROBINSON: Thank you.

OLBERMANN: And let's wrap up, Chris, is that the final score here, something like 12 to 9, Obama?

MATTHEWS: Well, who was favored? Well, I think perhaps - I think the big thing was that Hillary Clinton admitted that she would like to have her vote back authorizing the war with Iraq. I think, as I said before, our colleague Tim Russert finally brought the marlin into the boat tonight after weeks and months of trying to get it in.

OLBERMANN: All right. Twenty debates' worth. Stay with MSNBC, when we come back, we will have the complete Clinton-Obama debate for those of you who missed it or those of you who just enjoyed it so much you want to see it again.

For Chris Matthews in Cleveland, I'm Keith Olbermann at MSNBC and NBC News world headquarters in New York. Thanks for being with us and good night.
'Countdown with Keith Olbermann' for Feb. 26, 8:00 p.m. ET
video 'podcast'

Guest: Dana Milbank

KEITH OLBERMANN, HOST (voice over): Which of these stories will you be talking about tomorrow?

The big 2-0, the 20th and possibly the final Democratic debate: One hour from now on MSNBC.

With the latest Ohio polls showing the Clinton lead there down to six with the Keith number of nearly 10. She has yelled at him. She mocked him. She has compared him to George Bush. She has compared his tactical efforts to Karl Rove's. She has blamed the media.

And now: She's had her Iraq war authorization vote rational for her by conflating Iraq with 9/11.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

BILL CLINTON, FMR UNITED STATES PRESIDENT: Keep in mind, Hillary was a senator from New York City. She had to stand down there at ground zero and see the awful consequences of what happened.


(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: All this and yet nothing seems to be making an impact.

The endorsement embargo is broken and not in Senator Clinton's favor.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. CHRIS DODD, (D) CONNECTICUT: I believe sincerely and deeply that Hillary Clinton will continue to make a significant contribution to our nation in years to come. But it's now the hour to come together.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: Not among the Republicans: A warm-up speaker for John McCain goes racist.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

BILL CUNNINGHAM, RADIO TALK SHOW HOST: At some point, the media will quit taking sides in this thing and maybe start covering Barack Hussein Obama the same way they covered Bush.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: And in Worst Persons: This clown compares Obama to Hitler.

The debate forecast from Tim Russert; Howard Fineman on the latest explanation of the Iraq vote; David Milbank on his report of public disagreement inside the Clinton camp; and Chuck Todd on the debate and the delegates' realities.


What happens tonight on the stage at Cleveland State University? Only on MSNBC.

She is going to challenge, says adviser Howard Wolfson, in a healthy, successful way. It's going to be, says "The New York Times," the "kitchen sink" fuselage.

So, do we all knee lobster bibs?

All that and more: Now on COUNTDOWN.

(on camera): Good evening, this is Tuesday, February 26th, 252 days until the 2008 presidential election. Just seven weeks ago tonight, after what seemed like a game-changing victory in the New Hampshire primary, Senator Hillary Clinton announced that, quote, "I found my own voice".

Tonight, in the fifth story on our COUNTDOWN: To the 20th Democratic debate, as those intervening seven weeks have elapsed, Senator Clinton had seem to add voice after voice to the soundtrack of her campaign. And still, she seems to have more different ones available to her than does Rich Little. Thus, the question a week before what could be her final test in Ohio and Texas, 57 minutes before what could easily be the final debate of her campaign. Which voice will she speak in tonight? Or which voices?


The latest poll showing Senator Barack Obama already statistically tied with her in Texas if not edging her out there, continuing to eat away at the Clinton lead in Ohio after trailing by 17 points a two weeks ago and nine points one week ago, he now trails by only six points. Clinton is leading 50 percent to 44 percent with a Keith number of 9.6. And no way to extrapolate Obama's future pace without seeing what happens tonight in Clinton.

"The New York Times" today, quote, "An unnamed Clinton aide describing the campaign's new, quote, 'kitchen sink' approach to throw Obama off-balance. At least for tonight, by hitting him with everything they've got. Begging the question, this is you and you're holding back?

"The Times" reporting her plan to go sharp on substance, soft on style on the menu, belittling hope as a campaign theme and questioning Obama's ability to serve as commander-in-chief. She's taking to comparing him to another foreign affair rookie, President Bush. We'd also expect continued focus on differences. As we heard this afternoon, she's still ticked about Obama's mailer claiming she called NAFTA a boon and she is still pushing to make health care coverage mandatory, not just available.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. HILLARY CLINTON, (D) PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: There's a big

difference in this campaign between me and my opponent. You see, I believe


in quality, affordable health care for everyone. And some of you may have

seen, I got a little hot over the weekend down in Cincinnati. You know,

because -

(APPLAUSE)

CLINTON: I don't mind having a debate. I don't mind airing our differences. But I really mind it when Senator Obama's campaign sends you literature in the mail that is false, misleading and has been discredited.

That is not the way to run a campaign to pick the Democratic nominee for

president. And -

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: Senator Clinton (INAUDIBLE) is right, Obama's claim was false. As with much in this campaign, though, it still seems to have helped Senator Obama, giving him entree to argue she cannot claim the good from the Clinton era without also answering for the bad. On that theme, former rival Senator Chris Dodd today, praised both Clintons and still gave Obama the first endorsement from any of the former Democratic hopefuls.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

DODD: I spoke with Hillary Clinton last evening. These are not comfortable conversations. It's not an easy thing to do particularly when you admire and care about people very deeply, as I do Hillary Clinton and her husband, Former President Bill Clinton. And I believe they've made significant contributions to our country. And I believe very deeply and sincerely this morning, that Hillary Clinton will continue to make a significant contribution to our nation in the years to come.

(END VIDEO CLIP)


OLBERMANN: Whether today's endorsement from former Ohio state basketball star, now injured Portland Trail Blazers rookie, Greg Oden matters more remains to be seen. Oden is the headline, not Dodd, on Obama's Ohio campaign Web site. But if it sounded as though Senator Dodd was wishing Hillary Clinton a fond farewell, Senator Obama did nothing counter that impression, answering the question about tonight's tone, with the prediction of civility and unsolicited prediction for tomorrow.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. BARACK OBAMA, (D) PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: And I think we're getting to the point now where hopefully, a lot of the differences have been picked over. And it's a good time to remind ourselves as Chris just did how much we have in common. You know, what's been remarkable about this process is to see how much convergence there is within the Democratic Party in terms of where we should take the country.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: Let's go now out to Cleveland State's where we are joined by NBC Washington bureau chief, MEET THE PRESS moderator, Tim Russert, who of course, will be joining Brian Williams onstage at the debate this evening. Good evening, Tim.

TIM RUSSERT, MODERATOR, "MEET THE PRESS": Hi, Keith.

OLBERMANN: Since last Thursday, we've heard Senator Clinton's conciliatory voice, her angry voice, her sarcastic voice. Which of them are you expecting to hear tonight?

RUSSERT: Boy, I wish I knew. I prepared for all of them. But it's a challenge, there's no doubt about it. We have seen that on the campaign stump, Senator Clinton can be very caustic, very aggressive. But when seated next to Senator Obama, she's much more respectful and civil with occasional punches or counter punches.

I am very, very anxious to see who she brings here tonight. How is she going to play? How is she going to distinguish herself from Senator Obama? What are the issues that she wants to draw the differences and make her closing argument to the people of Ohio and Texas and Rhode Island and Vermont?

OLBERMANN: From our own reporting tonight, from what you've heard, from what's flying around in the media, does Senator Clinton have anything new to try tonight? Or has this got to be just a louder, stronger version of what we've seen previously?

RUSSERT: Well, they do know that the line about change as xerox did not work last time. They think that the exchange she had about Tony Rezco, the slum lord, wasn't particularly effective. And so, I think tonight, what they are planning to do is to really try to not attack personally, but keep saying, if you had more experience, or if you were someone who had more conditioning or someone who had longer years dealing with these kinds of issues, you'd be much better off as a president or a commander-in-chief.

I think the difficulty comes when he's being compared by Senator Clinton to George Bush. Is that really the comparison that she wants to share with a Democratic electorate that has very high favorable ratings for both these candidates but do not like George Bush?


OLBERMANN: Yes. To use that clich', a third rail right there. But this other thing here, the Clinton camp winding up quoting of all things, "Saturday Night Live" arguing that the media has given Senator Obama a free ride, which I imagine he would disagree with. Are there tough questions that have not been thrown his way that he still needs to answer? And assuming he's not watching this show right now, will you and Brian be asking them tonight?

RUSSERT: Oh, sure. There are several questions that I think have risen to the point where they should be asked of Senator Obama at these debates, in our previous debates. And I know in my MEET THE PRESS interviews, we were the first one to ask Senator Obama about his relationship with Tony Rezco, the Chicago businessman. We asked repeated questions of Senator Obama's position on Iraq and whether he was opposed in terms of the speech he gave and his behavior in the Senate. So, I don't have any apologies to make for our questions towards Senator Obama. And that same treatment will continue tonight.

OLBERMANN: Dee Dee Myers was here last night. Of course the first press secretary for President Clinton. And she said there is still a core belief in this Clinton campaign that Senator Clinton has this brain-busting equation to solve that no male politician even has to understand. You've got to prove you're tough enough. Did she not in your assessment prove that point a long time ago? And may that pursuit of toughness in some way hold her back from doing what seemed to succeed, particularly in New Hampshire, seem tough but also seem at core immanently human?

RUSSERT: You know, that's a good question. I just talked to some young high school students the other day, half boys and girls, men and women. And I said, when I believed I would cover a woman running for president that the litmus test, the threshold issue would be: Is she tough enough to be commander-in-chief? I said, no one asked that about Hillary Clinton. Liberals, conservatives, moderates, Republicans, Democrats, independents, no one questions her toughness.

I don't think that's an issue in this campaign. What is the issue is:

whether or not she can relate to, resonate with, communicate with people, so that they believe that she is someone who understands what they're going through and has viable, tangible plans to deal with it. I think that's been the bigger obstacle confronting her campaign, the toughness issue, not her problem.

OLBERMANN: Tim Russert, who will again, join Brian Williams in the question box at tonight's upcoming debate here on MSNBC. Thanks, Tim. Go get them.

RUSSERT: Thanks, Keith. See you later.

OLBERMANN: See you later.

The Clinton camp's intense desire to paint Obama as unfit to lead or unready at least, to command the mightiest military in human history consistently runs smack into the Obama rebuttal, that her experience and that of Republican rival, John McCain led to their participation in the worst American foreign policy mistake in decades if not centuries, a single Senate vote in 2002, authorizing the use of military force in Iraq.

Yesterday defending that vote, President Clinton not only referenced the fallacy that led to it, that Iraq was somehow tied to 9/11, in doing so, he also suggested, an experienced senator was tricked by an inexperienced just removed from Texas governor.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)


B. CLINTON: And Hillary said repeatedly, I wouldn't have voted for it if I had known that they weren't going to let the inspectors finish. But should you decide that that's disqualifying, her opponent says, yes. But they never point out, the other side, that after they were both in the Senate and had some responsibility - and keep in mind Hillary was a senator from New York City. She had to stand down there at ground zero and see the awful consequences of what happened.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: And just as the Clinton camp urged the media to focus on Obama's foreign policy credentials, so too did the media do so today. The "Associated Press" and the conservative "Washington Times", the latter paper headlining its piece: "Military Fears Unknown Quantity", quoting only one fearful military by name, retired Air Force Lieutenant General Thomas McInerney, happens to be an analyst for the FOX News Channel. And unnamed war profiteer was also quoted and nobody else. Obama's rebuttals are coming from his military backers, most of them veterans of the Clinton administration.

At this point let's turn to our MSNBC veteran political analyst, Howard Fineman and also senior Washington correspondent for "Newsweek". Great thanks for your time tonight, Howard.

HOWARD FINEMAN, NEWSWEEK: Hi, Keith.

OLBERMANN: All right. Tying Iraq to 9/11 - kind of a third rail for

Democrats, was President Clinton wandering off the reservation or is this -

when they talk about throwing the "kitchen sink" at Obama, was that, you know, at least the faucet?

FINEMAN: Well, Bill Clinton carries his own reservation with him, Keith. It's a portable reservation. He's in on the strategy calls and strategy meetings but then, he goes off and does his own thing. I talked to a Clinton adviser today who is mixed in their view of this.

On the one hand, it's understandable. Don't forget the Clintons are from New York now and Hillary is a New York senator. And one interpretation of his remarks is: Hillary and Bill defending their base. But the problem with it is as this person told me is that really the comparison now that Bill Clinton is making indirectly is between his wife and George Bush.

He's saying, Clinton is, that she reacted emotionally to the tragedy of 9/11 in her decision-making and, also, she acted on incomplete information and was duped by advisers, i.e. the White House. So, he's really undercutting his own wife in this regard.

OLBERMANN: Yes. I was down there, too, after 9/11. I had the same emotion that we all did. We wanted to hit somebody. But that doesn't mean you start a war with a country that didn't have anything to do with it.


FINEMAN: Right, that's the point.

OLBERMANN: We've heard two comparisons between Obama and President Bush. There was a third comparison from Senator Clinton to Karl Rove's tactics, more third rails among Democrats. Could we hear something that strong tonight? And what happens if we heard something that strong tonight?

FINEMAN: Well, it depends on how Hillary phrases it. You're going to hear it, Keith, because Barack Obama's biggest weakness - and it shows up in the polls and it's generally regarded as such throughout the country, really - is the question that's open: Does he have the experience, ironically, the toughness to be commander-in-chief? That's really - if he becomes the nominee, that's going to be the discussion with John McCain all the way along. And Hillary's really beginning that and amplifying it and she's going to do it tonight. The question is the matter of tone, not whether she's going to do it.

OLBERMANN: Does she actually invoke President Bush, though?

FINEMAN: Well, that's a good question. I think she may. I think actually, Bill Clinton's explanation if he wanted to give it - if Hillary wanted to give it, would have been better given a long time ago, because she's got to explain that vote better. She never really apologized for it. But it's the only way she can get at, attacking Barack Obama for lack of experience in foreign affairs. It's a big weakness for her, but she's got no choice but to go after it, because that's her opponent's main weakness.

OLBERMANN: All right. A side bar to this, that may not be one, Senator Dodd's endorsement. As a final point, Howard, is that a tipping point among party establishment? Does that open up flood gates of endorsements? Might we see anything more for him next Tuesday?

FINEMAN: Yes, I think you're going to see others and nobody has a better sense of where the ground zero, center of gravity of politics is than Chris Dodd. I think it's significant.

OLBERMANN: Howard Fineman of "Newsweek" and MSNBC. Well, we'll see if the prediction comes true, an actual Bush reference or something near it. Or the fireworks will fly if that happens. Talk to you later, Howard. Thank you.

FINEMAN: OK, thanks, Keith.

OLBERMANN: The Clinton campaign infinitely claiming its candidate is on the verge of locking up the nomination. No, seriously, we have a guy on the show tonight who heard Harold Ickes say this out loud in front of people.

Speaking of which, John McCain would never call him Senator Barack Hussein Obama or brand him a fraud or a hack. The guy introducing the guy who introduced McCain at the McCain event today, he sure did and the candidate is just shocked. Plausible deniability next, you are watching COUNTDOWN on MSNBC.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)


OLBERMANN: Who could have possibly known? John McCain's campaign selects a rabid Cincinnati radio bully to speak at the McCain event this morning, a radio bully who's claimed Barack Obama is part of a terrorist sleeper cell, was raised in a madrasa and identified him as Mohammed. The guy gets up and says to McCain's crowd that, quote, Barack Hussein Obama is a, quote, "fraud" and a, quote, "hack". Senator McCain is utterly shocked and utterly sorry.

If you believe he had utterly no idea it's going to happen, you have to believe Senator McCain and his campaign have utterly no clue who is going to speak at McCain presidential events. Maybe the guy just ran up out of the audience and seized the microphone. That's next on our COUNTDOWN to Obama/Clinton 20.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

OBLERMANN: The public at a John McCain presidential campaign event in Cincinnati this morning, heard Senator Obama's middle name used as insult and innuendo. The possible next president of the United States called a hack and a fraud.

Our fourth story on the COUNTDOWN: More conveniently for the racism and religious intolerance, happily brandished to the McCain event. The candidate himself was not yet in the hall when the words were spoken, thus providing Senator McCain with the opportunity to play swiftboat plus, also known as the Captain Renault ploy from Casablanca - "I'm shocked to find that slander is going on here."

The litany of name-calling from a local radio talk show in Cincinnati well known for trading in such racism and hatred, named, Bill Cunningham, three times using Senator Obama's middle name - Hussein, calling Obama a hack and the fraud from Chicago.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

CUNNINGHAM: The stooges from "The New York Times," CBS, the "Clinton broadcasting system", NBC, the "nobody but Clinton" network, the "all Bill Clinton" channel, ABC and the "Clinton news network" at some point is going to peel the bark off Barack Hussein Obama. That day will come.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: Peel the bark off. Mr. Cunningham is apparently not smart enough to understand how close he came there of being guilty of trying to insight physical violence against the presidential candidate. Cunningham also said that the world leaders who want to kill will be singing kumbayah, only he mispronounced kumbayah, around the table with Barack Obama.

Senator McCain later took the same stage at Memorial Hall in downtown Cincinnati, no reference to Cunningham's remarks. McCain told reporters afterwards he had never met Mr. Cunningham and was not in the building when Cunningham spoke, allowing McCain to take responsibility and apologize long after those in the audience were gone.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)


SEN. JOHN MCCAIN, (R) PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: I have repeatedly stated my respect for Senator Obama and Senator Clinton, that I will treat them with respect. I will call them senator. We will have respectful debate, as I have said on hundreds of occasions. I regret any comments that may be made about these two individuals who are honorable Americans.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: The senator's advisers say, they had no advance knowledge of Cunningham's comments. McCain said he would not allow anything like that to happen again. The Obama's campaign said they appreciated McCain's remarks. Mr. Cunningham has now declared on his radio show that he feels betrayed by McCain's action.

And the Senator McCain still has time to speak with one voice when it comes to sleazy attacks. The battle of the two McCains continues on the lobbyist front. The latest that the senator may have tried to spare a Republican colleague and election year embarrassment in a Senate committee investigation in 2006, about the activities of disgraced now jailed lobbyist, Jack Abramoff. That issue, according to "The Huffington Post's" Sam Stein, a 2002 e-mail from Abramoff to one of his aides in which Abramoff sought the help of the Alabama governor, Republican Bob Riley. The committee headed by McCain did not say whether it thought the contents of the e-mail were fact or fiction and did not release the e-mail in its final report.

More on that presently, but first a reminder of McCain's often used line on Abramoff.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

MCCAIN: Ask Jack Abramoff if I'm an insider in Washington. Probably you have to go during visiting hours in the prison. And he'll tell you and his lobbyist cronies of the change I made there.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: And if he wants that answered or not. Let's bring in MSNBC political analyst, Air America Radio host, Rachel Maddow. Good evening, Rachel.

RACHEL MADDOW, MSNBC POLITICAL ANALYST: Hi, Keith.

OLBERMANN: To the bully Cunningham in a moment. First, what is the McCain/Abramoff story here exactly?

MADDOW: 2006, John McCain was the head of the Senate Indian Affairs Committee. The report on Abramoff was designed to figure out the reach of the Abramoff scandal, how far that corruption spread. And we know because of Sam Stein's reporting that one of the things the committee had, in terms of evidence, was an e-mail from Jack Abramoff saying, what he expected from Alabama Governor Bob Riley in exchange for Abramoff contributions and Abramoff client contributions to Riley's campaign.


We know that Riley took those contributions. We know he did what Abramoff was demanding from him. And now, we know the missing piece because of those e-mails that Abramoff had formulated those essentially as demand that went along with the contributions. What we don't know now is:

Why John McCain never published those e-mails? Why he sack on that and let that report be published without once including Bob Riley's name in that report?

OLBERMANN: All right. So, what it's looking like here is we're going to get a McCain lobbyist story, an average of every 2.3 days. There's going to be a new one. But now, we did have something new on the spectrum, at least, as far as McCain was concerned, this story about Mr. Cunningham in Cincinnati.

Just today, Mark Halperin, a political blogger, listed things that McCain could do to Obama that Senator Clinton cannot. Let me read number six exactly - allow some supporters to risk being accused of using the race card when criticizing Obama. Could McCain not have known who this Cunningham was? I mean, I knew everything I needed to know about him from blogs for months and years or that he called Obama a quote, "sleeper cell", like he said that Obama was an entire sleeper cell by himself, mind you? Is it plausible that him or somebody who's working under complete authority of John McCain had no idea who this guy was?

MADDOW: First, I think it should be - we should note for a moment what Mark Halperin did with this list. I mean, it's one thing to have the RNC polling on just how racist they can get in their campaign before they tip over. It's another to have Mark Halperin at "Time" magazine recommending that they go racist against Barack Obama. But in terms of McCain and this Cunningham guy, I believe that you don't necessarily hold every politician accountable for everything done by everybody who has ever given them money, by every half-brother, by their kid, by their ex-wives, by everybody's, things that they can't control, you don't hold them accountable for.

But when it's their campaign, picking somebody to introduce the candidate in the middle of the presidential campaign, yes, you hold them accountable for that and you got to take a - I think take with a big grain of salt, any repudiation of those comments.

OLBERMANN: And the repudiation after the fact was commendable. Exact quote was, "I will make sure nothing like this happens again." But McCain did not say that to the crowd. Is this not like the way he laughed when that woman in North Carolina, I guess it was, or South Carolina, I can't remember, who asked him about Hillary Clinton, quote, "How do we beat the bitch and then, he laughed and said it was an excellent question and then later on, he seemed to sort of tried to back away from it?

This isn't about Bill Cunningham being, you know, a pig. This is a question of John McCain's judgment in action at the moment and maybe he got it right, 45 minutes later, but what happened at the moment? He failed, didn't he?

MADDOW: Yes. And to profess shock at something usually implies that you immediately feel the shock when the thing happens. It doesn't mean that after you talk to your advisers 45 minutes later, and the crowd is gone, then, you retroactively feel shocked. If you really are shocked by these things, you react in the moment, you'd really do make sure they don't happen again. You don't laugh them off for the benefit of the crowd and those around you.

OLBERMANN: I never understood this. It always pays to apologize even if you're insincere about it. Why wouldn't he come out and make a big deal about it with the crowd? Why wouldn't someone say it to him as he's going on in the stage?

MADDOW: Then, why didn't he tell the woman who called Hillary Clinton

you know, I mean, at this point, he's going along with it. If that makes it not credible that he was shocked by these things.


OLBERMANN: Another list to keep. Rachel Maddow of Air America and MSNBC, as always, a pleasure to talk to you. We'll talk to you again after the debate.

MADDOW: Indeed.

OLBERMANN: And 23 or 22 ½ minutes until what might very well be the final Democratic debate - try it again in English - debate live only here on MSNBC. Now, 32 minutes to go. Which stage of grief or stages of grief will we see from Senator Clinton? And how does Senator Obama play in all this?

And in Bushed: The marines ask the Pentagon for a formal investigation into the marines own charges, that hundreds of American troops died in Iraq because the administration would not buy armored vehicles to save them from being blown to pieces by roadside bombs?

Next on COUNTDOWN.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

OLBERMANN: The scene literally three minutes ago at Cleveland State University, Senator Barack Obama reporting to our NBC facilities at the university there for the debate tonight. We have not yet seen Senator Clinton. Senator Obama has arrived at the debate which begins in 28 minutes here on MSNBC. We're on the way to locking this nomination down, the words in public of a senior adviser to Senator Obama? Senator McCain? Senator Clinton. As we continue our countdown to what might be the last Democratic debate in 2008, you can't believe anybody in the Clinton campaign would actually say that. We have an eyewitness, Dana Milbank, senator's advisors clashing not just with each other but with reality. Speaking of which, worst persons. Who thought the McCain warm up speakers references to Barack Hussein Obama were bad enough? This guy just compared to Obama to Hitler.

These stories, but first, the headlines breaking tonight, the administration's 50 scandals, bushed. Number three, MRAP-gate. Not H. Rapp Brown, but MRAP-gate. The Marines internal report indicated that hundreds of American soldiers died from roadside bombs in Iraq because of foot dragging and a pigheaded insistence that it was better to wait six years for an American-made armored vehicle instead of buying them immediately from other companies. The Marines have now asked the Pentagon's inspector general to conduct a formal investigation. If you want to predict which Bush functionaries are likeliest to wind up the longest in prison, keep watching this story.

Number two, we lied to you about troop reductions-gate. Lt. General Carter Ham, head of the operations for the joint chiefs, says that the redeployment after the so-called surge will end in July. Troops who legally have to go home will have gone home and the remainder still in Iraq will total 140,000, 8,000 more than were there when Mr. Bush launched the ill-fated surge. In the state of the union, when he said troops were beginning to come home from Iraq, it was as if he said the problem with the heating in this room is being resolved when the room was actually on fire.

And number one, the nexus of politics and terror-gate again second day running. You heard the conservative Cato Institute say we're no less safe today than we were before the so-called protect America act expired without immunity for the telecoms. You heard the conservative "Washington Times" say we're no less safe today. You heard an administration source say, the last of the holdouts among the telecoms capitulated last Friday. So the entire argument that they will no longer cooperate without surveillance is now a moot point. Regardless, Senator bond of Missouri and Congressman Hoekstra of Colorado and Smith of Texas wrote a screaming op-ed in "The Wall Street Journal" today saying, quote, we are less safe today because, quote, those companies critical to collecting actionable intelligence could be sidelined in the fight. Even though they then go on to admit the telecoms are all cooperating. Mr. Hoekstra wrote a similar op-ed yesterday for the "National Review," concluding, history never takes a vacation, neither do terrorists. But as Mr. Hoekstra demonstrates, honesty does. Mr. Bond, Mr. Hoekstra, Mr. Smith and others doing Mr. Bush's bidding for him in the nation's press are political shills and the manipulators and amplifiers of the natural fears of Americans. They are men not worthy of continuing in office.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

OLBERMANN: Three minutes ago at the Wolfstein Center, Senator Clinton had made her way through the new snow in the Cleveland area for tonight's debate. So they're both in the house. Even in these final moments before the 20th Democratic debate, what is going on inside the campaign of Senator Clinton of New York? The apparent answer is, everything. We are told to stand by for a kitchen sink fusillade against Senator Obama. Then again, we're also told of Senator Clinton's senior advisers thinks she's about to lock the nomination down. Dana Milbank of the "Washington Post" who heard that actually said out loud as we continue our countdown to the MSNBC Democratic debate in exactly 21 minutes and 30 seconds. That's next.


But first, time for COUNTDOWN's worst persons in the world. The bronze to Glenn Beck, asked by NPR for some bizarre reason to name a rising star among conservatives. He chose Rick Santorum, saying the former Pennsylvania governor (sic) is a Winston Churchill in many ways. He blew his Senate campaign because he spoke the truth. Winston Churchill, a man who said on the eve of the battle against Hitler, "we shall not flag or fail, we shall go on to the end, we shall fight in France. We shall fight on the seas and the oceans. We shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air. We shall defend our coast, whatever the cost may be. We shall fight on the beaches. We shall fight on the landing grounds. We shall fight in the fields and in the streets. We shall fight in the hills. We shall never surrender."

Rick Santorum, a man who said of marriage quote, "it's not, you know, man on child, man on dog or whatever the case may be." Winston Churchill, who could have been speaking of Rick Santorum when he said of a political rival, "a modest man who has much to be modest about." Yeah, good analogy.

The runner-up tonight, Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas, voicing opposition to Democratic proposals to begin troop withdrawals from Iraq within 120 days - her right, of course. But to say this, that a proposal would, quote, "put a bullet right into the hearts of our troops who are there," accusing Democrats of shooting American troops, not just a tasteless, un-American comment, but pure hypocrisy from Senator Hutchison who five years ago voted to kill the amendment that for our heroes in Iraq would have bought $322 million worth of body armor.

But our winner, Jonah Goldberg, the guy who thinks fascists were leftists and socialists - even though the founders of fascism used to try to beat socialists to death on the streets in Italy. He's still obsessed with this topic and he still doesn't know anything about it. Quote, "I think one of the things that is decidedly fascistic or at least just a bad idea is looking for silver bullets. You know, when Barack Obama campaigns, he's basically saying I'm a silver bullet, I'm going to solve all your problems just by electing me. FDR, Hitler, all these guys, they basically said all your problems can be solved."

So he just compared Obama and Franklin Roosevelt to Hitler. What was this Republican thing about not wandering off into psychosis when targeting Senator Obama? Jonah "I'll compare anybody to Hitler" Goldberg, today's worst person in the world!

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

OLBERMANN: Sixteen months into this, I'm just angry, the words of Clinton campaign spokesman Phil Singer. We're on the way to locking this nomination down, the words of Clinton campaign adviser Harold Ickes. The real headline as we continue our countdown to the debate tonight with our number two story, both of those remarks occurred on the same day at the same media event at a breakfast organized by the "Christian Science Monitor." In fighting, disaffections spilled over in public, to say nothing of what sounds like some substance that induces hallucinations. Dana Milbank who joints us presently, reporting that the campaign accused the press of being soft on Obama and compared the senator from Illinois to George McGovern. "The Baltimore Sun" meanwhile reporting that disagreements within the campaign were evident too, like when strategist Ickes sniped at Clinton's chief strategist Mark Penn by joking, quote, I'm not the chief strategist. I'm the assistant sanitation commissioner. I'm not in the high realms. Politico.com reporting today that even in the high realms there's no concrete strategy nor plan. The campaign is mostly improvising and it's not always working as when this picture of Obama surfaced. At first Clinton's campaign dithered over whether to deny responsibility for it or just ignore it. Then when they finally decided a position, they mailed out talking points to their surrogates but as evidenced on MSNBC this morning, those surrogates are not always staying on script.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

REP. STEPHANIE TUBBS JONES, CLINTON CAMPAIGN SURROGATE: I have no shame or no problem with people looking at Barack Obama in his native clothing, the clothing of his country.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

OLBERMANN: As promised, I'm joined now by our Dana Milbank also of course of the "Washington Post." Good evening Dana.

DANA MILBANK, WASHINGTON POST: I'm in my native clothing.


OLBERMANN: I can see, although like a welder's helmet would seem more appropriate after what you've been through. Are we assuming that the congresswoman meant one of his ancestral nations or was this a convenient slip of the tongue or is the real point now regarding the Clinton campaign, nobody has a freaking clue anymore.

MILBANK: Having watched the congresswoman at various hearings, I think we should give her the benefit of the doubt. It probably was a slip of the tongue or a brief loss of the mind but it does speak to what's going on in general, as you've been referring to as the whole kitchen sink notion. The problem is any one of these things may have been a legitimate strategy to pursue. They're just all being pursued at once. At the same time, this photo of Obama in Somali dress came out. There was also another one on the wire of Obama with a camel. So it's only a matter of time perhaps until they start comparing him to a dromedary I suppose.

OLBERMANN: That was also the point about this breakfast with the Clinton campaign in Washington yesterday, right. Your account seemed to include everything except guys busting into crying jags and somebody on the staff throwing cream pitchers at reporters.

MILBANK: It very nearly came to that. It was a fairly plausible idea. They wanted to have Ickes come out. He's the expert in the delegates. And explain why we all need to withhold judgment until next Tuesday, until March 4 and Ohio and Texas. He was just trying to buy time. What happened is the spokesman for the campaign, Phil Singer essentially hijacked the session and started lecturing the likes of David Broder, who was covering presidential politics for two decades before Singer was born about being too beholden to Matt Drudge. This speaks a lot about the mutual antagonism between Clinton and the press corps that has not worked to their advantage.

OLBERMANN: The Ickes quote, though, is there any possibility this is misinterpreted in terms of tone? Did he say it wrong? Was he referring to something he said a year ago? We're on the way to locking this nomination down?

MILBANK: In fairness, he said it will take a little bit of time until they lock it down. They'll have to win in the Puerto Rico primary and then turn on all the super delegates. I think he was getting a little carried away. He's a very good lawyer and he was trying to make the best possible case. Ultimately he was forced to admit in that same session that if she doesn't win in Ohio and Texas, then she's going to have to think about whether she goes on from there.

OLBERMANN: I asked this last night. Separating out whether they were good ideas or not or realistic ideas or not, what good was specifically supposed to come out of some of these tactics? Again, absolutely agreeing with your point that all of them at the same time can't work. But just individually, how is Senator Clinton supposed to be helped by her people comparing Obama to Bush and to George McGovern? How was Senator Clinton supposed to be helped by her people attacking the media?

MILBANK: Well I think the McGovern comparison may indeed be a good one. We'll know that in November.

OLBERMANN: It can't be McGovern and Bush at the same time.

MILBANK: Can't be at the same time and of course it doesn't help her since it makes her into Ed Muskie, which isn't going to do her any good at all. But look as you say, they have to throw out whatever they can at this point. Some of them are neither here nor there. But a lot of things are counter productive. When they go after the press with such animosity and then complain about the negative coverage is a chicken and egg game going on here. This has been going on for a year and a half and they're sort of reaping what they sowed.

OLBERMANN: Crying in New Hampshire references coming back to play now as you make the analogy to Edwin Muskie. Dana Milbank of the "Washington Post," MSNBC and survivor of the "Christian Science Monitor" breakfast the other morning. Thank you Dana.

MILBANK: Thanks Keith.


OLBERMANN: And thus we are nearly arrived at the moment.

A different meaning perhaps for the words of Teddy Roosevelt at a different political event 25 presidential elections ago. To you who gird yourselves for this great new fight in the never-ending warfare for the good of human kind, I say we stand at Armageddon and we battle for the lord. The countdown to the debate at Cleveland.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

OLBERMANN: A correction tonight. In Bush, I identified Congressman Peter Hoekstra as being from Colorado. He is in fact from Michigan. So my apologies for the error and my apologies to Michigan.

Cleveland, Ohio, not just the site of what is probably the final of an epic 20 debates in this Democratic primary campaign, enough to make Lincoln and Douglas blush, but the home also of baseball owner George Steinbrenner about whom it was once said, not the kind of person who will sit around doing nothing when a situation calls for panic.

Number one story in the countdown, that perhaps the synopsis of the Clinton strategy on that stage six minutes hence. But what of Barack Obama's strategy? Is he best advised to indeed just sit around and do nothing? So far nothing thrown against his wall has seemed to stick. He's inching closer to Hillary Clinton in the Ohio polls each day to within four or six points now. He's even beating her in the Lone Star state according to the latest Opinion Research poll and he has not only gotten the endorsement today of Senator Dodd, also two more super delegates pledged to him. Obama with 28 super delegate pledges since Super Tuesday, Clinton having lost three. Thus our NBC count of the super delegates now 257 for Clinton and 198 for Obama. I'm joined now by NBC news political director Chuck Todd who is outside in the hallway for the debate. Chuck, good evening.

CHUCK TODD, NBC NEWS POLITICAL DIRECTOR: Good evening, sir.

OLBERMANN: We have too much information clearly about what Senator Clinton might do tonight, too many options. Do we have any idea about what Senator Obama intends to do or might do?

TODD: Well, I think that that's actually what makes this kind of difficult for him tonight. I think he is going to - first of all, he has an opponent that he has no idea what's going to happen. Is she going to come swinging which is frankly what I think he would prefer. He would love nothing more than for her to try to beat him up and get really nasty, maybe have that tone that she had on Saturday when she said, meet me in Ohio and really got sarcastic and really beat him up because I think that's when he's at his best. He can be very deflective. I think what will throw him off a little bit is if she's tough without being overly - looking like she's getting desperate with her attacks.

Then he's also got to deal with the questioners. Obviously, we're going to plug our own. But between Brian Williams and Tim Russert, I think he realizes if he thinks he's going to be the nominee-to-be, he's going to have to answer some questions that maybe he hasn't answered yet at some of these debates and I think that he's got a lot more pressure on him than he realized. I know in some ways they can sit here and say it's about prevent defense. But he's going to have a lot of work to do tonight himself.

OLBERMANN: These new numbers on general election polling, McCain and Clinton tied. McCain losing to Obama by 12. Should perhaps or is this being one of the strategies considered, should Obama just pivot away from Hillary Clinton in some way in this debate tonight and attack McCain in absentia? Would that protect him on all his vulnerabilities and at the same time give him another boost from this thing tonight? Can he just sort of segue around her?

TODD: Well, it's not a bad strategy. Frankly, it's one that Hillary Clinton has done in previous debates where she would either attack George Bush or she would attack whoever the front-runner at the time was during that - the crazy Republican season, whether it was Rudy Giuliani or somebody else. So it is a strategy Hillary Clinton did very successfully when she would ignore the opponents on stage and instead go after the Republicans. That could be a strategy of him tonight. It's something we've not seen from him before. And if he did it this first time, I think it could be very effective.


OLBERMANN: As we see the senators come onto the stage, first Senator Clinton and then Senator Obama, shaking hands now, Senator Obama is with Tim Russert, Hillary Clinton having done that already. On Thursday it was, Clinton said, I'm honored to be here with Barack Obama. By Saturday it was shame on you Barack Obama. On Sunday she was trying to turn him into some sort "Sunday Night Live" sketch. If it's something - whichever version comes out in the questioning - in her questioning, her challenges to Obama, is there some sense that maybe he has to be textbook dull in his responses to her on these criticisms for fear of giving her anything to work with? Or can he dare point out that it is beginning to resemble maybe from his perspective an eight-candidate campaign again like he's dealing with seven Hillary Clintons?

TODD: I think he does need to be more Ronald Reagan in a situation like this. Ronald Reagan when he would get into a debate situation like this, always looking as if he was facing somebody who maybe seemed better than him on the intellectual front. But he always had a way of being deflective. I think that Obama shouldn't just sit back and hope to bore the audience to death. That said, a boring debate tonight would be a good result for him. But I think he should - you don't let your opponent come back if they're behind. You go for the kill, particularly when your opponent has the last name of Clinton. If there's an opportunity for him to finish her off tonight, he ought to think about taking it.

OLBERMANN: Yes or no, Howard Fineman suggested tonight that there might actually be in this debate by Hillary Clinton a comparison of Barack Obama to President Bush in terms of international inexperience on day one.

TODD: Well, we saw it already on Monday on the speech. So I think it's definitely something you're going to see. Kind of ironic when we've heard others inside the Clinton campaign say being compared to Bush is not a good thing.

OLBERMANN: Lastly, drinking game phrases or if you prefer donate a quarter to charity phrases, you should take a swig of soft drink or donate some cash every time you hear Clinton say what, every time you hear Obama say what?

TODD: With Clinton, I say the words shame or the laugh. And with Obama I think it's well we agree, some version of we agree I think you'll hear from Obama quite a bit.

OLBERMANN: I'm betting on let's get real from Senator Clinton.

That's the one I'd put my 25 cents about.

TODD: Let's get real.

OLBERMANN: Chuck Todd, political director of MSNBC at Cleveland State University, also political director of NBC news. Great thanks as always sir. We'll talk you to later on.

TODD: All right Keith.

OLBERMANN: That is COUNTDOWN for this the 1,763rd day since the declaration of mission accomplished in Iraq. I'm Keith Olbermann and we'll rejoin you afterwards about 10:30 Eastern time alongside Chris Matthews for a complete analysis of what is said tonight. In the interim I'll be doing what you are doing, watching the 20th Democratic debate. And for that, let's go to Cleveland State University and Brian Williams and Tim Russert.

THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED. END